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Last Year’s Financial Predictions

At the start of each year, I compile a list of predictions that financial gurus and industry experts tell us are a “sure thing.” And each year, I track how many of these predictions actually come true.

This marks our fourth and final quarterly review of some consensus financial predictions that pundits in the financial media forecast as certain to occur in 2014. Keep in mind that if the following predictions were really sure things, all—or at least most—of them should have happened.

As is our practice, we’ll give a score of +1 for a forecast that came true, a score of –1 for a prediction that turned out to be wrong, and a score of 0 for one that was basically a tie.

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