‘Sure Things’ That Didn’t Pan Out
Each January, I put together a list of predictions that financial “gurus” have made for the upcoming year—sort of a consensus of “sure things.” I then keep track of whether or not these “sure thing” predictions have actually come to pass.
The turn of the calendar into April means that it’s time for our first quarterly review. As is our practice, we’ll give a score of +1 to a forecast that came true, a score of -1 to a forecast that was wrong, and a score of 0 to one that was basically a tie.
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